Hutt's Rebuttal of Keynes

John Maynard Keynes published The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money in 1936. In it, he advocated for dirigistic inflationary policies to stimulate the economy and aid economic recovery. Idle resources—money, labor, capital—had to be employed; otherwise, they were being wasted. William H Hutt provided one of the earliest rebuttals of the general theory. His book, The Theory of Idle Resources (1939), lists several valid reasons for resource unemployment: ...

June 30, 2026 · 139 words

Time Preference

Anne Robert Jacques Turgot, in his criticism of usury laws, described the concept of time-preference and its role in lending at interest. Time-preference refers to the discounting of the future, and the concomitant placing of a premium upon the present. If this rate of discounting is high, the time-preference is high. If the discounting rate is low, the time-preference is low. Since we prefer a present good to an equivalent amount of the good at some point in the future, lenders will demand, and borrowers will accept, an interest on a loan. Interest is the price of time-preference. ...

June 30, 2026 · 153 words

Inflation Promotes Speculation

In my previous discussion about the effects of inflation, I missed an important point. This might be the most pernicious of its cultural effects: inflation discourages productivity and encourages speculation. The distortions generated by inflation are not immediately apparent. While an inflationary episode is underway, labor is tricked into accepting the same nominal wage (that is, accepting a lower real wage), since price levels have not risen yet. Soon, prices rise and the decline in purchasing power becomes apparent. Long after the prices have risen are the labor able to negotiate a (nominal) wage increase. This increase is also likely to be lower than the rate of inflation, thus the real wage continues to be lower than what it was prior to the inflationary episode. A decline in real wages discourages productivity. ...

June 29, 2026 · 221 words

Price-Specie-Flow Mechanism and Automatic Trade Balancing Under the Gold Standard

The Price-Specie-Flow Mechanism The price-specie-flow (PSF) mechanism is the extension of the quantity theory of money (QTM) to a multi-country scenario. Proponents of the end-neutrality of QTM often implicitly assume a closed economy. But when nations trade amongst each other, the injection of monetary units in a nation can, instead of putting upward pressure on local prices, promote imports, and thus cause an outflow of money, in the short term. The price-specie-flow mechanism accounts for these dynamics. ...

June 28, 2026 · 586 words

Quantity Theory of Money

Statement The level of prices depend on the quantity of money. Early discussions on this matter can be found in the essays of John Locke, David Hume and Irving Fisher (see Reference). Discussion Provided that the item used as money can be divided and combined as necessary, any amount of money is sufficient for running an economy. Ideas about bringing lasting changes to an economy by expanding the money supply are invalid. Should the money supply increase, all else equal, the prices of goods and services would increase proportionately. Thus, the outcome would ultimately be neutral. ...

June 27, 2026 · 524 words

A Reasonable Tax System

Setting aside the question of morality as it relates to coercing citizens to part with their property, let us consider a tax regime based solely on the stock market. (Also, assume a Bitcoin standard.) Equity-Based Tax System In this system only top publicly traded companies are taxed. Taxation takes place in-kind, through shares. Only, say, the top 500 companies (by market capitalization) in the country are in consideration for taxation. And the taxation occurs thus: ...

June 26, 2026 · 1113 words

How Money Broke

Free market interactions led to the emergence of gold as money. Gold was divisible, durable, recognizable, and most importantly, difficult to inflate. Thus, it maintained its purchasing power better than other commodities that were easier to produce. However, gold suffered from certain drawbacks. While it was divisible, dividing it physically was practical only to a certain point. Also, carrying it in large quantities was costly and cumbersome. Furthermore, verifying the authenticity of gold coins and bars was time-consuming. ...

June 12, 2026 · 915 words

Gresham's Law and Fiat Currencies

Gresham’s Law stipulates thus. “Artificially overvalued money will drive out of circulation artificially undervalued money.” As terrible as the US Dollar has been at inflation in a century, other currencies have proven to be worse. Governments throughout the world have been egregiously inflationary. They have expanded their money supply and devalued their currencies. Entities in these countries have thus resorted to hoarding (a term without a negative connotation to me) US Dollars. The upward pressure on the demand for US Dollars is such that despite the massive expansion in US Dollar supply, we do not see the corresponding amount of price level rises in the US. The abysmal fiscal policies of the rest of the world allows the US to export its price inflation. ...

June 11, 2026 · 202 words

Components of the Fiat Banking System (India-Centric)

The following table depicts the major components of the fiat financial system from the Indian point-of-view. For the most part, it is similar to the table for the US case. The key differences are noted at the bottom. Components of the Indian Banking System ENTITIES LIABILITIES ASSETS EXAMPLES Individuals Mortgages, Loans, Taxes Deposits, Banknotes, Government Securities (G-Secs), Stocks, Bonds, Fund Units, SDLs, Benefit Payments High Net-Worth Individuals, Retail Investors, Family Offices, Other Individuals Businesses and Non-Profits Loans, Bonds, Equity, Commercial Paper, Taxes Deposits, Banknotes, Subsidies Tata Group, Reliance Industries, Infosys, Indian Red Cross Society, Small and Medium Enterprises Financial Institutions Deposits, Fund Units, Securities Issued, Taxes Loans, Mortgages, G-Secs, SDLs, Stocks, Bonds, Commercial Paper, Bank Reserves, Deposits, Banknotes, Bailouts State Bank of India, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI Mutual Fund, Life Insurance Corporation of India Foreign Sector Deposits, Stocks, Bonds, Loans, Taxes G-Secs, Stocks, Bonds, Loans, Fund Units, Deposits, Banknotes Reserve Bank of Japan, Norges Bank Investment Management, Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs), Global Corporations Public Authorities, Government Trust Funds, State Governments Bonds, SDLs, Benefit Payments Government Securities, (State) Taxes Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO), National Pension System (NPS Trust), State PSUs like NTPC, Indian Railways, Government of Maharashtra Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Banknotes, Bank Reserves Government Securities, Foreign Exchange Reserves, SDLs Reserve Bank of India (Mumbai, Regional Offices) Government of India Government Securities, Subsidies, Bailouts Taxes — Notes The components here are very similar to the Components of the US Banking System. Standard notes regarding the US system applies. There are some differences. ...

June 3, 2026 · 383 words

Components of the Fiat Banking System (US-Centric)

This is a simplified depiction of the fiat banking system. Here, we will focus on the US system. Note how each liability of an entity corresponds to an asset of another entity and vice versa. Components of the US Banking System ENTITIES LIABILITIES ASSETS EXAMPLES Individuals Mortgages, Loans, Taxes Deposits, Banknotes, Treasuries, Stocks, Bonds, MBS, Fund Shares, Benefit Payments High Net-Worth Individuals, Retail Investors, Family Offices, Other Individuals Businesses and Non-Profits Loans, Bonds, Stocks, Commercial Paper, Taxes Deposits, Banknotes, Subsidies Walmart, Caterpillar, American Red Cross, Powell’s Sweet Shoppe Financial Institutions Deposits, Fund Shares, MBS, Taxes Mortgages, Loans, Treasuries, Stocks, Bonds, MBS, Commercial Paper, Reserves, Deposits, Banknotes, Bailouts Bank of America, Vanguard, Fidelity Investments, Fannie Mae MBS Trusts, CalPERS Foreign Sector Deposits, Stocks, Bonds, Loans, Taxes Treasuries, Stocks, Bonds, Loans, MBS, Fund Shares, Deposits, Banknotes Bank of Japan, Norway Government Pension Fund Global, Foreign Corporations and Individuals Public Authorities and Government Trust Funds Bonds, Benefit Payments Treasuries Social Security Trust Fund, Medicare Hospital Insurance Trust Fund, Tennessee Valley Authority, Port Authority of New York and New Jersey Federal Reserve Banknotes, Reserves Treasuries, MBS Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco US Federal Government Treasuries, Subsidies, Bailouts Taxes — Notes Flow Items Interests are implied: loans include interest, deposits include interest, and so on. Similarly, obligations like pension obligations and insurance obligations are implied alongside fund shares. Taxes include seizures, tariffs, etc. Bailouts, subsidies, taxes are flows, not balance sheet items (as are interests and other obligations mentioned above). Regardless, I’ve chosen to include them to maintain a sense of who is liable to pay these to whom. These flow items have been italicized. Perhaps the more appropriate terms would be tax liability, taxing authority, benefits entitlement, benefits obligations, etc. Although, strictly speaking, these are not balance sheet items. Financial Institutions include Commercial Banks, Credit Unions, Money Market Funds, Mutual Funds, Pension Funds, Exchange Traded Funds, Insurance Companies. Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) are formed by pooling and securitizing Mortgages through MBS Trusts. Agency MBS Trusts are formed by government-backed institutions like Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. Private Trusts or Special-Purpose Vehicles are MBS Trusts formed by large private financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and Merrill Lynch. Private Label MBS are much less common than Agency MBS. Treasuries and Agency MBS account for over 95% of the Federal Reserve’s assets. Foreign Sector This includes Foreign Central Banks, Commercial Banks, Sovereign Wealth Funds, Governments, Corporations, Households. The liabilities are • Foreign Stocks, Bonds, Loans held by US entities, • US entities’ deposits in Foreign Banks, and • Taxes owed by Foreign entities to the US Government. The assets are • US Treasuries, Stocks, Bonds, MBS held by foreigners, • foreign entities’ deposits in US Banks, • (not included in this table) taxes/obligations owed by US entities to foreign governments/entities. Financial assets are featured above. These are items that are someone else’s liabilities. Thus, items like gold, equipment, real estate, infrastructure (in the case of Public Authorities) which do not have corresponding liabilities are not listed here. Arguably, inflation should be included as well. An asset for the government, liability for anyone holding the currency. See also Components of the Indian Banking System.

June 3, 2026 · 538 words